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Home/Suburb Guides/Cranbourne, VIC

Cranbourne Property Investment Guide 2026

low risk

VIC 3977 · Metro Outer

Median Price
$620,000
Gross Yield
5.0%
5yr Growth
6.0% p.a.
Hybrid Score
10/10

Cranbourne Investment Profile

Cranbourne is a outer metro suburb in Victoria (postcode 3977), home to a population of 56,000 residents.

Major southeast Melbourne growth area with strong family demand. Train line duplication improving connectivity. Established town centre with growing amenity base.

This suburb carries a low risk profile, making it suitable for conservative investors seeking stable, long-term returns.

The suburb offers houses, apartments, townhouses for investors.

Source: ABS Census 2021, Domain Market Reports 2025, SQM Research 2025, updated 2026-08-01T19:18:22.028+00:00.

Price & Growth Analysis

Median Prices

  • House: $620,000
  • Unit: $410,000
  • Townhouse: $510,000

Capital Growth

  • 5-year annual growth: 6.0% p.a.
  • 10-year annual growth: 7.0% p.a.

At current growth rates, a house purchased at the median price of $620,000 could be worth approximately $829,700 in 5 years and $1,219,634 in 10 years. These are estimates based on historical growth rates and actual results may vary.

Source: ABS Census 2021, Domain Market Reports 2025, SQM Research 2025, updated 2026-08-01T19:18:22.028+00:00.

Rental Yield & Market Conditions

Weekly Rents

  • House: $600/week ($31,200/year)
  • Unit: $491/week ($25,532/year)

Yield & Market Metrics

  • Gross rental yield: 5.03%
  • Vacancy rate: 1.3%
  • Days on market: 23 days

A vacancy rate of 1.3% indicates a very tight rental market with strong demand. Properties typically sell within 23 days, indicating strong buyer demand.

Source: ABS Census 2021, Domain Market Reports 2025, SQM Research 2025, updated 2026-08-01T19:18:22.028+00:00.

Demographics & Community Profile

Metric Value
Population 56,000
Median age 33
Median household income $82,000/year
Unemployment rate 4.8%
Owner-occupier ratio 64%

The suburb has moderate household incomes, typical for this region type. Owner-occupier ratio: 64%, reflecting high owner-occupier ratio, which typically supports price stability.

Source: ABS Census 2021, Domain Market Reports 2025, SQM Research 2025, updated 2026-08-01T19:18:22.028+00:00.

Growth Drivers & Infrastructure

Key Growth Drivers

  • Southeast growth corridor
  • Cranbourne Turf Club precinct
  • Casey Hospital
  • Family demographic

Infrastructure Projects

  • Cranbourne line duplication
  • South East Business Park
  • Casey Hospital expansion

Major infrastructure investment is a strong indicator of future growth. Cranbourne benefits from 3 notable projects that could drive demand and property values.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level: Low

Price Stability: 7.0/10

Volatility: 3.3/10

Identified Risks

  • Distance from CBD
  • New supply from ongoing development
  • Limited inner-suburban appeal

With a price stability score of 7.0/10, Cranbourne demonstrates strong price stability, reducing the risk of significant value drops.

Investment Verdict

Score Breakdown

  • Growth Score: 10.0/10
  • Yield Score: 9.0/10
  • Hybrid Score: 10.0/10

Cranbourne scores strongest in capital growth and balanced (hybrid) returns, with a hybrid score of 10.0/10.

A strong hybrid investment offering a balance of growth potential and rental income. Suitable for investors seeking a diversified return profile.

This information is general in nature and does not constitute personal financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your individual circumstances. Consider seeking professional advice before making any property investment.

Compare Cranbourne

vs Alfredton (VIC)

Yield 4.3% | Growth 6.0% | Score 5/10

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Data source: ABS Census 2021, Domain Market Reports 2025, SQM Research 2025. Last updated: 2026-08-01T19:18:22.028+00:00.

This information is general in nature and does not constitute personal financial advice. All projections and estimates are based on historical data and assumptions — actual results may vary. Consider seeking independent financial advice before making any property investment decisions.

BRICKWISE

General information only, not financial advice. BRICKWISE does not recommend that you buy, sell or hold any property. Figures are estimates for education and screening and do not constitute credit approval or personal financial advice. Data: Figures use row-level source and freshness labels where available.

MAP GEOMETRY: NATURAL EARTH 50M / FIGURES: SEE ROW-LEVEL SOURCE LEDGER

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